It was a classic sell signal today, although the rally in oil stocks saved the day. It closed at about pivot 728. The high of the day came within 2 points of target 732. Tomorrow's numbers are 730r1, 727.6pvt and 725s1. The trend change of Apr02 to May07's mini-correction was 42 OEX points, and the trend change of Sep11 to Oct9 was also a count of 42 points. If history repeats itself, a mini-correction of 10 to 15 points to OEX 715 is not surprising. The momentum of total index put/call ratio has increased again. For what it's worth, bear in mind the Bradley Model turn date of Oct17 (+ or - 7 days). OEX OCT 730 puts look attractive at this junction and OIH Oct 200 puts are good for more adventurous day traders.
2c
3 comments:
Hey 2cents, yes oil rally on a HAL for BHI rumor triggered the rally. Oil also looks to be on an uptrend to new highs.
This market is crazy and I hear calls of 1600 on SPX by next Friday. Strangely I believe it can happen.
Volume is low, no sellers.
Bigelam
Yes, Bigelam, your observation on no sellers was correct. Playing it by the day seems to be prudent.
2c
For more on the Bradley Model, check out www.bradleymodel.com
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